Is Rivian Stock Yesterday's News?

Core Insights - Rivian is preparing to launch its next vehicle platform, with its stock price increasing by approximately 36% over the past year, although it remains down about 90% from its peak in late 2021, raising questions about its profitability potential [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q3, Rivian's revenue increased by 78% year over year to around $1.56 billion, and it achieved a gross profit of $24 million, marking a significant improvement of $416 million from the previous year when it reported a gross loss [3] - Despite the positive gross profit, Rivian's automotive gross profits were still negative at $130 million, although this represented a reduction of $249 million compared to Q3 of the previous year, indicating that costs of goods sold remain higher than revenue [4] Vehicle Deliveries - The company delivered 13,201 vehicles in Q3 and reported 9,745 deliveries in Q4, resulting in fewer total deliveries in 2025 compared to 2023 and 2024, with the peak delivery of 15,564 units occurring in Q3 2023 [5][7] Future Prospects - Rivian is set to launch its R2 SUVs, which are expected to be more affordable than the R1 models, potentially increasing demand and allowing for economies of scale in manufacturing, although it may take time before the company achieves positive gross profits on its vehicles [6][7] - The path to profitability for Rivian is closely tied to its ability to scale production and deliveries, with hopes that the R2 vehicles will enhance gross margins and lower operating expenses per unit [7]