今冬是暖还是冷？寒潮还会不会来？

Core Insights - The winter of 2025 in Guangxi is experiencing significantly higher temperatures, leading to a perception of an early spring among residents [2][3] - The average annual temperature in Guangxi for 2025 is recorded at 21.4°C, which is 0.5°C above the normal and ranks as the sixth highest since 1961 [3] - The current winter season (December 2025 to February 2026) is expected to maintain a warm trend, with average temperatures already 1.9°C higher than the historical average for the same period [3][4] Temperature Trends - The national average temperature for 2025 is projected to be 11.0°C, surpassing the previous record of 10.9°C set in 2024, indicating a broader trend of rising temperatures across the country [3] - Guangxi's average temperature for December 2025 reached 14.6°C, which is 2.4°C higher than the same month in previous years, marking it as the second highest on record [3] Warm Winter Classification - The classification of this winter as "warm" or "cold" is based on the average temperature from December to February compared to the last 30 years; a deviation of more than 0.5°C indicates a warm winter [4] - The meteorological department uses a specific threshold based on the average temperatures from 1991 to 2020 to determine the classification of winter temperatures [4]