Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao·2026-01-18 06:11Core Viewpoint - The merger between China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) and China Aviation Oil Holding Company (China Aviation Oil) aims to create a powerful entity in the aviation fuel industry, enhancing supply chain control and competitiveness in line with China's dual carbon goals [3][24]. Industry Overview - The aviation fuel supply chain, valued at several hundred billion yuan, is undergoing significant restructuring, impacting upstream suppliers, midstream refining companies, independent traders, and downstream airlines [2][4]. - The merger is not merely a scale expansion but focuses on "professional integration," shifting competition from channel-based to efficiency and cost across the entire supply chain [4][5]. Merger Implementation - Following the merger announcement, both companies initiated the integration of production and procurement systems, aiming to optimize the supply chain from refineries to airports [3][6]. - A joint working group has been established to assess logistics, customer contracts, and supplier lists, with a focus on ensuring stable market supply during the transition [6][7]. Market Reactions - The merger has raised concerns among midstream small and medium-sized refining companies and independent traders, who fear losing business as Sinopec's capacity may cover most of China Aviation Oil's needs [13][14]. - Some companies are exploring alliances with other large refiners or considering direct supply to airports to maintain market presence [13][14]. User Perspective - Airlines, as the end users of aviation fuel, are closely monitoring the merger's impact on fuel costs, which constitute over 30% of their operational expenses [18][19]. - While the integration may enhance supply stability and reduce costs, airlines are concerned about diminished bargaining power against a unified supplier [18][19]. Future Considerations - The merger is expected to accelerate the green transition in the aviation sector, with both companies collaborating on sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) initiatives [24][25]. - Regulatory scrutiny is anticipated to ensure fair competition and prevent monopolistic practices, with the National Market Supervision Administration likely to review the merger [23][25].