中信证券:4万亿元投资夯实未来5年电网投资稳健偏强增长的预期 重点推荐两个方向
智通财经网·2026-01-18 09:33

Core Viewpoint - The investment plan of 4 trillion yuan by the State Grid during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period solidifies the expectation of steady and strong growth in power grid investment over the next five years, with a focus on ultra-high voltage, direct current transmission, and digital intelligence development [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Plan - The State Grid's fixed asset investment is expected to reach 4 trillion yuan during the "14th Five-Year Plan," representing a 40% increase compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" [2]. - The average annual investment is projected to be 800 billion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) approaching double digits, slightly exceeding the growth of electricity consumption [2]. Group 2: Green Transition and Carbon Neutrality - The State Grid aims to support national carbon peak goals, with an expected annual increase of around 200 million kilowatts in new wind and solar energy installations, pushing non-fossil energy consumption to 25% and electricity's share in final energy consumption to 35% [3]. - The development goals indicate a steady improvement in energy application greening and electrification levels, promoting the widespread application of intelligent devices and systems suitable for high renewable energy ratios [3]. Group 3: New Power System Construction - During the "14th Five-Year Plan," the State Grid plans to establish a new power grid platform characterized by collaborative main and distribution networks, enhancing cross-regional transmission capacity by over 30% compared to the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [4]. - The construction will focus on interconnectivity and digital intelligence, with significant investments in ultra-high voltage, direct current transmission, and intelligent microgrid systems expected to maintain high demand [4].