西红柿价格暴涨近10倍！“涨价将持续到3月！”

Core Viewpoint - The price of tomatoes has surged significantly across various regions in China, with reports indicating increases of nearly tenfold in some areas, raising concerns among consumers about the affordability of this staple vegetable [4][19]. Price Trends - In Zhejiang, the price of tomatoes has risen from approximately 5 yuan per jin last year to around 7-10 yuan per jin recently, with peak prices reaching 10 yuan per jin earlier this year [4][19]. - In Shenzhen, the price has escalated from 1-2 yuan per jin at the beginning of last year to between 7-10 yuan per jin currently, with some premium varieties exceeding 13 yuan per jin [7][11]. Causes of Price Increase - The average wholesale price of tomatoes from January 1 to 16, 2026, was reported at 8.61 yuan per kilogram, an 80.9% increase compared to 4.76 yuan per kilogram in January 2025 [19]. - The price surge began in the second half of the previous year due to reduced planting areas by farmers following a low market performance in the first half, compounded by adverse weather conditions in northern production areas that led to decreased yields [19]. - Continuous rainfall in northern regions during the summer and autumn of 2025 caused root damage to already planted tomatoes, while subsequent cloudy weather reduced fruit setting rates, leading to a delayed harvest [19]. Future Price Outlook - Experts predict that the high prices of tomatoes will continue to fluctuate until late March, after which a seasonal decline is expected [20]. - Factors contributing to this forecast include increased pre-holiday stocking by merchants and the gradual market entry of winter tomatoes from southern regions, although ongoing La Niña conditions may keep production costs elevated [20]. - The current price increase is primarily attributed to climatic factors rather than seasonal or cyclical fluctuations, and other vegetables like carrots and cabbages are also affected by similar weather-related issues [20].