以有效对话重建经济全球化共识

Group 1: Global Economic Outlook - The World Economic Forum 2026 will be held from January 19 to January 23 in Davos, Switzerland, focusing on the theme of "the spirit of dialogue" to address global challenges such as geopolitical tensions and economic conflicts [1] - Major international organizations, including the IMF, predict a continued slowdown in global economic growth, with the WTO significantly lowering the 2026 global goods trade growth forecast to 0.5%, down from 2.4% in 2025 [2] - The trend of localization and regionalization in supply chains indicates a shift from efficiency-first globalization to a model prioritizing security and resilience [2] Group 2: Challenges to Global Dialogue - Protectionism poses a significant threat to global dialogue and cooperation, undermining trust and the foundational rules of international relations [4] - The misuse of national security concepts by major economies, including arbitrary tariffs and economic sanctions, distorts global resource allocation and increases uncertainty for businesses [4] - The narrative of zero-sum games, amplified by social media, complicates efforts for mutually beneficial dialogue and erodes the political will for strategic economic cooperation [4] Group 3: China's Role in Global Governance - China proposed a global governance initiative in September 2025, emphasizing unity over division and dialogue over confrontation, positioning itself as a staunch advocate for multilateralism and economic globalization [5][6] - The initiative includes five core principles aimed at addressing the shortcomings of global governance, such as insufficient representation and trust deficits, while opposing unilateralism and protectionism [6] - China actively participates in reforming the WTO and seeks to join high-standard trade agreements, indicating a willingness to integrate into and enhance the global trade rule system [7] Group 4: Future Economic Prospects - China's economic trajectory remains positive, with a commitment to providing stability and certainty to the global economy through high-level openness and development [8] - The emphasis on dialogue and cooperation is seen as essential for navigating the complexities of the global economy and achieving sustainable prosperity [8]