Global Economic Growth Forecast - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised its global economic growth forecast for 2026 to 3.3%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from last year's prediction [1] - The growth forecast for 2027 remains at 3.2%, consistent with the estimate for 2025 [1] - IMF Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas noted that global growth remains resilient [1] Developed Economies - The growth forecast for developed economies in 2026 is now 1.8%, up by 0.2 percentage points from the previous estimate, with 2027 growth expected to be 1.7% [3] - The Eurozone's growth rate for 2026 is projected at 1.3%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points, driven by increased public spending in Germany and strong performances in Spain and Ireland [3] - The U.S. economy is expected to grow by 2.4% in 2026, up from the previous forecast of 2.1%, largely due to significant investments in artificial intelligence infrastructure [3] - Spain's GDP growth forecast for 2026 has been raised by 0.3 percentage points to 2.3%, while the UK forecast remains unchanged at 1.3% [3] Emerging Markets and Developing Economies - The growth forecast for emerging markets and developing economies is set at 4.2% for 2026, an increase of 0.2 percentage points, with a slight decrease to 4.1% for 2027 [4] - China's economic growth forecast for 2025 has been raised by 0.2 percentage points to 5%, with an upward adjustment for 2026 as well [5] - India's growth forecast for 2025 has been significantly increased by 0.7 percentage points to 7.3%, with stable growth expected around 6.4% for 2026 and 2027 [5] Inflation Trends - Global inflation is projected to continue its decline, from 4.1% in 2025 to 3.8% in 2026, and further down to 3.4% in 2027 [11] - This trend is expected to create space for more supportive monetary policies, which could further bolster economic growth [11]
3.3% ! IMF再次上调全球增长预期，通胀回落为政策宽松打开空间
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-19 11:01