IMF小幅上调2026年增长预期 警告不确定性让全球经济承压
Xin Hua Wang·2026-01-19 11:51

Core Viewpoint - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has slightly raised its global economic growth forecast for 2026 to 3.3%, citing various factors that contribute to economic resilience despite ongoing uncertainties [1] Economic Growth Projections - The IMF projects global economic growth of 3.3% in 2026, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous forecast in October [1] - For 2027, the growth rate is expected to remain stable at 3.2%, unchanged from the last forecast [1] - Emerging markets and developing economies are anticipated to grow at over 4.0% from 2026 to 2027, while developed economies are projected to grow by 1.8% in 2026 and 1.7% in 2027 [1] Inflation Expectations - The global overall inflation rate is expected to decrease from 4.1% in 2025 to 3.8% in 2026, and further down to 3.4% in 2027 [1]