247Wallst·2026-01-19 13:42Company Overview - Payoneer reported Q3 revenue of $270.9 million, a 47% increase year-over-year, but annual revenue growth for 2025 was only 0.47%, indicating stagnation [2] - PayPal reported Q3 revenue of $8.42 billion, up 7.3% year-over-year, and beat analyst estimates in all four quarters of 2025 [5] Earnings Performance - Payoneer's quarterly earnings per share (EPS) fell from $0.11 in Q3 2024 to $0.04 in Q3 2025, with full-year EPS declining 43.8% from $0.33 in 2024 to $0.19 in 2025 [2][3] - PayPal's full-year EPS decreased by 21.3% from $4.98 in 2024 to $3.92 in 2025, marking the lowest EPS since 2020 [5] Operational Metrics - Payoneer's operating margin is at negative 3%, indicating losses on core operations, while its return on assets is 1.08% [3] - PayPal's operating margin is 19.2% and return on equity is 24.4%, reflecting stronger operational health compared to Payoneer [6] Stock Valuation - Payoneer trades at a trailing P/E of 30x, which is considered expensive given its stalled revenue growth [3] - PayPal trades at a trailing P/E of 11.4x and a forward P/E of 9.8x, suggesting the market anticipates slower growth ahead [6] Insider Activity - Payoneer insiders, including CEO John Caplan and other executives, sold shares during the stock's 48% annual decline, with no insider purchases reported [4] Market Outlook - The stablecoin market remains speculative, with low odds assigned to major tech platforms launching USD stablecoins in 2026 [8] - Payoneer is viewed as a higher-risk, higher-reward investment if stablecoins reshape B2B payments, while PayPal is considered a safer hold for profitability and scale [10]