JBLU to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Offing for the Stock?

Core Insights - JetBlue Airways Corporation (JBLU) is set to report its fourth-quarter 2025 results on January 27, 2026, before market open, with a consensus estimate indicating a significant increase in loss per share compared to the previous year [1][9] Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for JBLU's fourth-quarter loss per share has widened to 45 cents from 42 cents over the past 60 days, reflecting a more than doubling of the loss from the prior year's actual loss of 21 cents [1] - Fourth-quarter revenues are estimated at $2.22 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 2.6% [1] Historical Performance - JBLU has a strong earnings surprise history, outperforming the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average beat of 22.16% [2] Factors Influencing Q4 Performance - Proactive efforts to expand connectivity in response to increased demand are expected to positively impact JBLU's performance [3] - Passenger revenues are estimated at $2.02 billion, indicating a decrease of 3.8% from the fourth-quarter 2024 actuals, while other revenues are projected at $187.1 million [3] Cost Factors - Lower oil prices are anticipated to benefit the bottom line, as fuel expenses are a significant cost for airlines [4] - However, geopolitical uncertainty, tariff pressures, and persistent inflation may negatively affect JBLU's operations, leading to volatility in passenger traffic and limiting revenue growth [4] Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for JBLU, with an Earnings ESP of -4.11% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [5] Recent Financial Results - In the third quarter of 2025, JBLU reported a loss of 40 cents per share, which was narrower than the consensus estimate of a loss of 43 cents, aided by lower fuel costs [6] - Operating revenues for Q3 were $2.32 billion, slightly below the consensus estimate of $2.33 billion, and decreased by 1.8% year over year [7]