Want to Invest in Nvidia’s Futuristic Rubin Chips? Consider This 1 ‘Picks-and-Shovels’ Stock Instead.
Yahoo Finance·2026-01-19 14:00

Core Viewpoint - Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) has demonstrated significant stock performance, with returns exceeding 5,800% over two decades, and a 160% increase since its inclusion in the S&P 500 in 2021, reflecting strong execution and institutional relevance [1][2]. Company Overview - Founded in 1997, Monolithic Power Systems specializes in high-efficiency power management integrated circuits (ICs) and has expanded its portfolio to include power converters, controllers, motor drivers, and battery management systems, with a market capitalization of $49.5 billion [2][3]. - The company has established itself as a key player in modern electronics, providing critical solutions across various technology markets, including data centers, automotive platforms, industrial systems, and consumer devices [2][3]. Recent Performance - MPWR's stock has surged 73% over the past year, reaching an all-time high of $1,123.38 in October, driven by strong demand across multiple end markets, not solely reliant on AI trends [7]. - The third-quarter earnings report revealed revenue of $737.2 million, a 19% year-over-year increase, surpassing Wall Street expectations, with notable growth in storage and computing (30% increase), automotive (36% increase), and industrial (26% increase) sectors [11][12]. Financial Health - Non-GAAP net income for the third quarter rose to $227.1 million, or $4.73 per share, with operating cash flow at $239.3 million, indicating robust cash generation and a strengthened balance sheet with $1.26 billion in cash and equivalents [13]. - The company has maintained a dividend for over a decade, recently distributing $1.56 per share, reflecting a 0.62% yield and a 46.38% payout ratio, providing a steady return to shareholders [10]. Future Outlook - Monolithic Power expects Q4 revenue between $730 million and $750 million, with non-GAAP gross margins projected between 55.2% and 55.8% [15]. - Analysts anticipate adjusted EPS for Q4 to be $3.63, a 15% year-over-year increase, with fiscal 2025 EPS expected to rise 26% to $13.50, and further growth projected for fiscal 2026 [16]. - Wells Fargo has upgraded MPWR to "Overweight," raising the price target to $1,125, with expectations of 39% year-over-year revenue growth in 2026, indicating a positive outlook aligned with Nvidia's expanding AI infrastructure [17][18]. Analyst Sentiment - The consensus rating for MPWR stock is "Strong Buy," with 12 out of 16 analysts recommending a "Strong Buy," and a mean price target of $1,219.23, suggesting an 18% upside potential [19].