申万宏源:商业航天进入规模部署与能力升级新阶段 为太空光伏带来新增需求
智通财经网·2026-01-20 03:13

Group 1 - China's submission of over 200,000 satellite constellation applications marks a significant expansion in the commercial space market, indicating a new phase of large-scale deployment [2][3] - The largest two constellations, CTC-1 and CTC-2, each consist of 96,714 satellites, suggesting a substantial increase in demand across satellite manufacturing and rocket launching sectors [2] - The commercial space sector is transitioning to a new stage characterized by large-scale deployment and capability upgrades, leading to a surge in demand for space photovoltaics [3] Group 2 - The demand for space photovoltaics is expected to grow significantly as the construction of low-orbit constellations moves from the "thousands" scale to "hundreds of thousands" and potentially "millions" in the coming decade [3] - Current mature technology includes gallium arsenide (GaAs) multi-junction batteries, which are high-performance but extremely costly, while silicon-based HJT batteries are seen as a key transitional solution for large-scale deployment [4] - Future potential technologies include perovskite and tandem batteries, which could achieve breakthroughs in efficiency and cost, although they currently face challenges in long-term stability [4] Group 3 - Key equipment suppliers in the space photovoltaic sector include Maiwei Co. (HJT production line equipment), High Measurement Co. (slicing machines), and Aotwei (module string welding equipment) [5] - Battery component manufacturers such as Yunda Co. and Trina Solar are actively developing next-generation space energy products, including collaborations on perovskite technology [5]