Is 2026 the Year to Buy UWM Holdings?

Core Viewpoint - UWM Holdings is positioned for a potential recovery due to macroeconomic changes and a pending merger, despite past declines in performance and share price [1][2]. Macroeconomic Factors - The housing market is showing signs of recovery, with mortgage rates at a three-year low, which could enhance UWM's operating performance [3]. - A potential repurchase of $200 billion in mortgage bonds by representatives of President Trump could further influence mortgage rates positively [4]. Company-Specific Catalysts - UWM is undergoing a significant shift towards AI and automation, which could result in cost savings exceeding $100 million [8]. - The planned acquisition of Two Harbors Investment could yield annual growth synergies of up to $150 million [9]. Stock Performance and Valuation - UWM Holdings has seen a nearly 40% increase in stock price since the beginning of the year, currently trading at approximately 13.5 times forward earnings, indicating it is fairly priced compared to other mortgage-focused financial stocks [10]. - Upcoming Q4 2025 earnings report could further elevate expectations and stock price, especially if strong results and promising guidance are provided [11].