Di Yi Cai Jing·2026-01-20 07:53Core Viewpoint - The real estate sector continues to face widespread losses, with most listed companies in the A-share market reporting varying degrees of deficit for 2025, except for the leading company, Poly Developments [2][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - Among the 27 listed real estate companies that have released performance forecasts, only Poly Developments reported a positive net profit of approximately 1.03 billion yuan, while the total losses of the other companies ranged from 47.546 billion to 62.464 billion yuan [3]. - Poly Developments experienced a revenue decline of 1.09% year-on-year, with a net profit drop of 79.49% due to decreased gross profit margins and anticipated asset impairment losses of about 6.9 billion yuan [3]. - Other companies, such as China Fortune Land Development, are projected to incur losses of 16 billion to 24 billion yuan for 2025, with net assets expected to decline by 10 billion to 15 billion yuan [4]. Group 2: Industry Challenges - The real estate sector has been struggling with significant losses since 2022, attributed to factors such as low-profit project settlements, increased impairment provisions, and rising interest expenses [6]. - The sales volume of commercial housing is expected to decline by 12.6% year-on-year in 2025, indicating ongoing market challenges [7]. - The real estate development prosperity index has been on a downward trend, reaching 91.45 by December 2025, reflecting a sluggish economic activity in the sector [7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the adjustment cycle in the real estate market may be nearing its end by 2026, with potential growth in the high-quality residential market driven by policy support and demand structure upgrades [8]. - Companies facing significant losses must manage their market value and ensure compliance with financial reporting to avoid delisting risks, which could arise from continuous losses or failure to meet revenue thresholds [9].