仲量联行：新经济动能支撑深圳办公楼租赁市场韧性

Group 1: Shenzhen Grade A Office Market - In 2025, Shenzhen's Grade A office market will see a peak in supply with 15 new projects totaling nearly 1.16 million square meters, the highest level in three years, while the overall vacancy rate will rise by 1.8 percentage points to 26.2% [1] - The rental market is experiencing downward pressure, with new rental prices continuing to decline and lease negotiations increasingly favoring tenants, leading to a year-on-year rental drop of 11.1% [1] - The main drivers of rental demand in Shenzhen are the expansion of the consumer electronics sector, the acceleration of brand internationalization, and the growth of strategic emerging industries such as artificial intelligence and semiconductor [1] Group 2: Logistics and Real Estate Trends - Capital is increasingly flowing into hard technology sectors, fostering the growth of new productive forces, with a resurgence in demand for consumer electronics and accelerated applications of AI driving the need for R&D and operational spaces [2] - Office location decisions are shifting from a single price focus to a comprehensive evaluation of cost-effectiveness, property management, and supporting facilities, benefiting high-quality office spaces in core business districts and emerging areas with mature amenities [2] - Some ongoing and existing office projects are alleviating vacancy pressures by incorporating hotel operations, with high-end hotel average room rates in Shenzhen expected to rise by 5.3% to 1,078 yuan and occupancy rates increasing by 5.9 percentage points to 82.0% [2] Group 3: Hotel Market Insights - The national hotel market is anticipated to experience structural highlights, with the potential expansion of public REITs to commercial real estate by 2026, providing new capital operation and exit channels for mature high-quality hotel assets in Shenzhen [3]