Asset Manager Highlights Gold And Copper, Warns About Selectivity And Volatility - Global X Copper Miners ETF (ARCA:COPX), VanEck Gold Miners ETF (ARCA:GDX)

Core Viewpoint - Commodities are positioned strongly entering 2026, with gold and copper identified as the most compelling opportunities due to structural demand drivers, constrained supply, and improving mining margins [1] Gold Market - Supportive macro conditions for gold include a softer US dollar, elevated geopolitical risks, expectations of lower real rates, and ongoing central bank purchases, which create a solid foundation for price strength and profitability in gold equities [2] - The fundamentals supporting gold's rally remain intact, with expectations of falling real rates and continued diversification of central bank reserves, leading to a more favorable outlook for gold miners with expanded margins and strong cash generation [3] Copper Market - Copper is highlighted as the tightest major base metal, with supply disruptions, low inventories, and rising demand for data centers and power grids contributing to price increases [4][5] - The balance between supply and demand favors producers, although long-term capacity additions may temper upside potential beyond the near future [5] Energy Market - The oil market is expected to find a bottom in the first half of 2026, with recovery anticipated later in the year as OPEC and US shale operations approach capacity [6][7] - Geopolitical developments, particularly in Venezuela, introduce uncertainty, but select energy equities may benefit as market conditions improve [7] Agricultural Market - The firm is optimistic about select agricultural equities due to a tightening grain market, with lower prices discouraging planting in some regions while demand from biofuels and livestock feed remains resilient [8] Investment Strategy - The firm emphasizes a positive momentum in commodities, particularly in gold and copper, while also identifying future opportunities in energy and agriculture [9] - An active and highly selective investment approach is deemed essential in the current environment, as the range of outcomes at the company level can vary widely despite positive headline stories [10][11]