Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-20 23:42Core Insights - In September 2023, Meta initiated the era of AI glasses, with an expected product explosion in the industry by 2025, and companies like Google anticipated to launch their AI glasses around 2026-2027 [1] - Policy-wise, AI glasses are expected to be included in national subsidies by 2026, which may further boost consumer demand [1] Industry Overview - Currently, AI glasses face a "trilemma" involving trade-offs among cost, weight, performance, and battery life [1] - AI audio glasses and AI camera glasses are relatively mature, while AI+AR glasses with displays are still in the development phase [1] - The optical display system is identified as a critical component, with waveguide technology projected to become the mainstream direction in the future [1] Market Dynamics - As technology matures, AI glasses are expected to potentially replace smartphones, becoming a comprehensive personal terminal [1] - Lens manufacturers are currently focusing on sales channels and customized lens areas to enhance average transaction value [1] - Looking ahead, these manufacturers may leverage their expertise in resin materials and optics to penetrate deeper into the industry chain, including areas like waveguides, electrochromic materials, and eye-tracking optical components, thereby sharing more value from the industry chain [1]