Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin indicated that President Trump is expected to finalize the selection of the next Federal Reserve Chair as early as next week, narrowing the candidates down to four from an initial list of eleven [3][7]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Chair Selection - The selection process for the next Federal Reserve Chair began in September of the previous year, with a total of eleven strong candidates initially considered [3][7]. - The final four candidates have all met with President Trump, who will make the ultimate decision [3][7]. Group 2: Interest Rate Projections - According to CME's "FedWatch," there is a 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged in January [3][7]. - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in January is 5%, while the likelihood of maintaining the current rate is 95% [3][7]. - By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is projected at 20.6%, with a 78.5% chance of keeping rates unchanged, and a 0.9% chance of a 50 basis point cut [3][7].
人民币兑美元中间价报7.0014,下调8点
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-21 01:25