中金:维持南山铝业国际(02610)跑赢行业评级 目标价77.76港元
智通财经网·2026-01-21 01:48

Core Viewpoint - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025/2026 and raises the 2027 net profit estimate by 15% to $500 million due to rising product prices, with a target price of HKD 77.76, indicating an 8% upside potential from the current stock price [1] Group 1: Company Current Status - The company plans to start construction of a 250,000-ton electrolytic aluminum project in 2026 with an investment of $437 million and a construction period of 2 years [2] - The company aims to develop a plan for an additional 500,000-ton electrolytic aluminum project to further enhance its production capacity [2] Group 2: Transition to Integrated Production - The company has established a capacity of 4 million tons per year for alumina in Indonesia, making it the largest alumina producer in Southeast Asia, marking its transition to an integrated electrolytic aluminum producer [3] Group 3: Advantages Supporting Industry Chain Expansion - The company benefits from raw material cost advantages due to abundant bauxite and coal resources in Indonesia, along with the expansion of a 70,000-ton deep-water port to enhance logistics efficiency [4] - The project is located in the Karang Batang Economic Zone in Indonesia, which enjoys a 20-year tax incentive and proximity to the Malacca Strait, facilitating product distribution across Southeast Asia and to the Eurasian continent [4] - The company is expected to form an integrated industry chain from alumina to electrolytic aluminum, enhancing synergy and risk resilience as its electrolytic aluminum capacity gradually comes online [4]