COMEX黄金期货价格突破4800美元/盎司 避险情绪成主要推手

Group 1 - COMEX gold futures prices have recently reached a historical high, surpassing $4800 per ounce, driven by rising market risk aversion due to trade conflicts between the US and Europe over Greenland [1] - The US announced tariffs on Denmark and seven other European countries, prompting the EU to prepare retaliatory tariffs on $108 billion worth of US goods, indicating significant economic impacts from the Greenland dispute [1] - The geopolitical risks have escalated, particularly with US actions towards Venezuela and Greenland, leading to increased uncertainty in the international economic environment and further boosting gold prices [1] Group 2 - For 2026, the outlook for gold prices remains bullish, supported by four core factors, including rising US fiscal risks due to increasing national debt and market skepticism about fiscal sustainability [2] - Strong demand for gold from global central banks is expected to continue, driven by strategic security and diversification needs amid economic uncertainties [2] - The continuation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts is anticipated, providing further support for gold prices as the labor market cools and inflation risks remain manageable [2][3] - Escalating geopolitical risks, particularly related to US military involvement in Venezuela, are expected to heighten demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3]