Nucor Corporation (NUE): A Bull Case Theory

Core Thesis - Nucor Corporation is viewed positively due to its strong operational flexibility, robust demand fundamentals, and potential for attractive entry points amid a favorable supply-demand setup [1][5][7] Company Overview - Nucor Corporation manufactures and sells steel products, currently trading around $173, reflecting a premium from strong December guidance [2] - As the largest U.S. domestic steel producer, Nucor utilizes a scrap-based production model through Electric Arc Furnaces, enhancing efficiency and cost discipline [2][3] Demand Fundamentals - Demand fundamentals are strong, with a significantly higher backlog year-over-year, particularly in rebar and joists and decks, while limited exposure to the automotive sector mitigates downside risk [4] - Structural tailwinds from data center construction, grid expansion, and infrastructure investment are expected to drive incremental steel demand, positioning Nucor to capture this growth [4] Financial Health - Nucor's balance sheet is strong, characterized by ample liquidity, moderate leverage, and ongoing capital returns through buybacks [5] - Strategic investments, including in small modular reactor technology, indicate a focus on long-term cost reduction and optionality [5] Valuation and Market Position - Current valuation appears modestly elevated, but a temporary earnings-related pullback could present an attractive entry point ahead of a favorable multi-year supply-demand scenario [5] - Nucor's stock price has appreciated approximately 10% since previous coverage, driven by improved guidance and stronger demand visibility [6][7]