邦达亚洲:经济数据表现良好 欧元收复1.1700关口

Group 1 - Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, warns that foreign governments and investors are reassessing their willingness to allocate assets to the U.S. amid rising economic tensions and uncertainty [1][6] - Dalio suggests that the aggressive political stance of U.S. President Trump may lead to a new phase in global financial conflicts, indicating a potential shift in capital allocation away from U.S. assets like government debt [1][6] - There is concern that if trust erodes, countries holding significant amounts of U.S. dollars and Treasury bonds may be less willing to finance the U.S. fiscal deficit, especially as the U.S. continues to issue large amounts of debt [1][6] Group 2 - According to ADP Research, U.S. private employers added an average of 8,000 jobs per week over the four weeks ending December 27, 2025, a decrease from the previous week's 11,750 jobs [2][7] - The data indicates a slight slowdown in hiring speed during the last week of December, although the overall trend in the private sector job market remains resilient following a brief period of weakness in mid-November [2][7] - The December report showed an increase of 41,000 jobs in the private sector, slightly below the Bloomberg economists' expectation of 50,000, marking a recovery from the previous month's decline [2][7] Group 3 - The U.S. dollar index experienced a downward trend, reaching a 10-day low around 98.50, primarily due to trade uncertainty stemming from President Trump's tariff threats [3][8] - The dollar index's decline was exacerbated after breaking below the 99.00 support level, attracting technical selling pressure [3][8] Group 4 - The euro strengthened, recovering the 1.1700 level and reaching a three-week high at approximately 1.1730, supported by short covering and the weakened dollar index due to rising trade uncertainties [4][9] - Positive economic data from the Eurozone also contributed to the euro's rebound, with attention on the 1.1800 resistance level and 1.1650 support [4][9] Group 5 - The British pound rose to a five-day high around 1.3450, supported by the weakening dollar index and declining U.S. Treasury yields amid escalating trade tensions [5][10] - Market caution ahead of key economic data releases from the UK limited the pound's upward momentum, with focus on the 1.3550 resistance level and 1.3350 support [5][10]