替代能源持续发力挤占需求 2025年12月柴油出口小幅增量

Core Viewpoint - In December 2025, China's diesel exports showed a significant increase both month-on-month and year-on-year, while the cumulative annual export volume experienced a decline. The market dynamics indicate a shift towards alternative energy sources impacting diesel demand, despite a temporary rebound in exports due to stable logistics and construction activities [1][2][3]. Group 1: Export Data - In December 2025, diesel export volume reached 427,200 tons, marking a month-on-month increase of 2.82% and a year-on-year increase of 483.61% [1][2]. - The cumulative diesel export volume for the year 2025 was 6,667,100 tons, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 16.74% [1][2]. - The export destinations expanded from 18 to 26 countries, with Bangladesh, the Philippines, and Singapore being the top three destinations [3]. Group 2: Import Data - There were no diesel imports recorded in December 2025, while the cumulative import volume for the year was 234,800 tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 95.76% [1][2]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The logistics and construction industry showed stable performance, contributing to the slight rebound in diesel exports [2]. - The penetration of alternative energy vehicles, particularly in the logistics sector, is increasingly suppressing diesel demand, with new energy heavy truck sales rising by 198% year-on-year in December [2]. - The current export quota remains similar to the previous year, with no significant easing of export policies, which may limit future diesel export volumes [3].