智通财经网·2026-01-21 11:23Group 1: Market Performance - From January 1 to 18, the national passenger car retail sales reached 679,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 28% and a month-on-month decrease of 37% [1][5] - During the same period, the wholesale volume of passenger cars was 740,000 units, down 35% year-on-year and 30% month-on-month [1][9] - The retail sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in the same timeframe were 312,000 units, reflecting a 16% year-on-year decline and a 52% month-on-month decline [1][5] Group 2: Production Trends - In the first two weeks of January, the production of pure fuel light vehicles was 91,000 units, down 85% year-on-year and 77% month-on-month [1] - The production of hybrid and plug-in hybrid vehicles totaled 139,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 65% and a month-on-month decrease of 75% [1] Group 3: Policy Impact - The National Development and Reform Commission announced a policy to implement large-scale equipment updates and a trade-in program, which is expected to boost domestic car consumption [5] - The subsidy for passenger car trade-ins is projected to decrease by 20% to 30% compared to 2025, indicating a structural adjustment in the policy [5][11] Group 4: Future Outlook - The market is expected to improve as local subsidy details and channels are fully launched, along with the gradual release of purchasing power before the Spring Festival [5] - The first month of the year typically sees a "New Year sales boost," and despite the current weak performance, there is an anticipation of a slight increase in year-on-year sales due to pre-orders and market dynamics [9][11]