Ahead of Steel Dynamics (STLD) Q4 Earnings: Get Ready With Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics

Core Viewpoint - Steel Dynamics (STLD) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.72 per share, reflecting a 26.5% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $4.54 billion, a 17.2% increase compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 0.4% in the last 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of their initial estimates [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are crucial indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock, with empirical research showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue and Sales Projections - Analysts estimate 'External Net Sales- Steel Fabrication' to reach $362.78 million, a decrease of 8.4% from the year-ago quarter [5]. - 'External Net Sales- Steel' is projected at $3.21 billion, representing a 21.3% increase year-over-year [5]. - 'External Net Sales- Metals Recycling' is expected to be $471.84 million, a decline of 2.1% from the previous year [5]. - The consensus for 'External Net Sales- Other' is $317.61 million, indicating a 10.4% increase year-over-year [6]. Pricing and Shipment Metrics - The average external sales price for steel is projected at $1,092 per tonne, up from $1,011 per tonne a year ago [6]. - 'Steel Fabrication - Average sales price' is expected to be $2,558 per tonne, down from $2,718 per tonne in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Steel - External Shipments' are forecasted to reach 2,939 thousand tons, compared to 2,618 thousand tons in the previous year [7]. - 'Steel Fabrication - Shipments' are estimated at 142 thousand tons, slightly down from 146 thousand tons year-over-year [8]. - 'Steel - Flat Roll shipments' are projected at 1,997 thousand tons, an increase from 1,842 thousand tons year-over-year [9]. - 'Metals Recycling - Ferrous shipments' are expected to be 1,440 thousand tons, compared to 1,421 thousand tons in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Steel - Flat Roll shipments - Steel Processing Divisions' are estimated at 494 thousand tons, up from 460 thousand tons year-over-year [10]. Stock Performance - Steel Dynamics shares have decreased by 3% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has seen a decline of 0.4%. The company holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating expected outperformance in the near term [11].