Beyond the Transatlantic Rift: Emerging Market Bond ETFs to Buy

Core Insights - The intensifying trade war between the United States and Europe over the Greenland dispute is prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets, with fixed-income securities being a traditional choice during geopolitical tensions [1] - Emerging Market (EM) Bond ETFs are gaining traction as they provide diversified exposure and a geopolitical hedge amid the tariff conflict, with a projected market share increase to 33% by the end of 2026 [2][3] Emerging Market Bond ETFs - The EM bond sector is expected to rally further in 2026, supported by favorable inflation dynamics and high real rates compared to developed markets, which will likely enhance inflows into EM bond ETFs [3] - The yield differential in developed markets is shrinking, making EM bonds attractive due to their compelling carry, especially as the U.S. dollar weakens and sovereign balance sheets improve in regions like Southeast Asia and Latin America [4] Specific ETFs Performance - iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF (EMB) has net assets of $16.70 billion and has rallied 11.7% over the past year, with top holdings in Turkey, Mexico, and Brazil [5][6] - VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF (EMLC) has net assets of $4.32 billion, gained 17.1% over the past year, and focuses on local currency bonds from Brazil, South Africa, and Mexico [9] - Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond ETF (VWOB) has net assets of $5.7 billion, also gained 11.7% over the past year, and includes bonds from Argentina and Mexico [10]