美联储1月议息预测:维持不变的概率98.0%
Jin Rong Jie·2026-01-22 00:41
Core Viewpoint - The latest predictions from Polymarket indicate a high probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in January, with a 98.0% chance of no change [1] Summary by Categories - Interest Rate Predictions - Probability of maintaining current interest rates is 98.0% [1] - Probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 1.8% [1] - Probability of a rate cut of 50+ basis points is less than 1% [1] - Probability of a rate increase of 25+ basis points is also less than 1% [1]