Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2026-01-22 01:21Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry is expected to see significant growth in production and demand in 2025, with domestic battery and lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode material output notably higher than in 2024 [1][2] Production - In December 2025, domestic battery production is projected to reach 201.7 GWh, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 62% and a month-on-month increase of about 14% [1][2] - The output of domestic lithium iron phosphate cathode materials in December 2025 is expected to be 26.93 million tons, showing a year-on-year growth of 32.48% and a month-on-month increase of 0.16%, with a capacity utilization rate of 59.85% [1][2] Pricing - As of January 16, 2026, the price of industrial-grade lithium carbonate has risen to 153,000 yuan per ton, with a weekly increase of 10.87% [3] - The price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) was reported at 47,100 yuan per ton on January 9, 2026, up 4.43% from January 4 [3] - The average price of square lithium iron phosphate energy storage cells remained stable, with specific capacities showing slight increases in price [3] Demand - In December 2025, the monthly loading volume of lithium iron phosphate batteries reached 79.8 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 30.82% and a month-on-month increase of 5.98%, marking a new high for the year [4] - The monthly loading volume of ternary power batteries was 18.2 GWh, remaining stable compared to November and showing a year-on-year increase of 27.27% [4] - In November 2025, global sales of new energy vehicles reached 2 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.53% and a month-on-month increase of 4.63% [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in the production of lithium batteries and related materials, particularly those with strong positions in both domestic and overseas markets [5] - Recommended companies include CATL (300750.SZ), EVE Energy (300014.SZ), Xinwangda (300207.SZ), Hunan Youneng (301358.SZ), Tianci Materials (002709.SZ), and Dofluorid (002407.SZ) [5]