智通财经网·2026-01-22 03:56Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that commercial aerospace is entering a high-density and standardized launch phase driven by high payload capacity and reusable technology, leading to a continuous decrease in launch costs [1] - The demand for propellants and special gases is rigid, with their cost share increasing due to the overall reduction in rocket costs, highlighting the importance of liquid oxygen and methane as a key development direction for new reusable rockets [1][4] - The economic viability of rocket launches is becoming a crucial factor for the transition to high-density and standardized launches, with the cost of propellants and special gases becoming a more stable and predictable value segment [1][3] Group 2 - China's launch infrastructure has been significantly enhanced, with a total of 21 existing launch sites and 5 more under construction or planned, leading to an increase in rocket launch frequency from 39 times in 2020 to an expected 92 times by 2025 [2] - The cost of rocket launches in China is projected to decrease from approximately 115,000 yuan per kilogram in 2020 to around 45,000 yuan per kilogram by 2029, driven by advancements in new generation launch vehicles and reusable technology [3] - The industry is witnessing a parallel development of liquid oxygen and kerosene alongside liquid oxygen and methane, with the latter gaining prominence due to its cleaner combustion and lower maintenance requirements [4] Group 3 - The investment recommendation emphasizes focusing on Jiufeng Energy, which is positioned to supply special fuels and gases for commercial aerospace, with capabilities in liquid hydrogen, liquid methane, and helium [5] - Jiufeng Energy's strategic partnerships with rocket companies and expansion plans align with the increasing demand for high-density launch operations, particularly with the completion of the first phase of the Hainan commercial launch project [5]