智通财经网·2026-01-22 09:35Core Viewpoint - Macquarie has raised the target price for Chow Tai Fook (01929) by 5.9%, from HKD 18.7 to HKD 19.8, based on a 15x forecast P/E for the fiscal year 2027, maintaining an outperform rating [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - Same-store sales growth for Chow Tai Fook's self-operated and franchised stores in mainland China increased from 7.6% and 8.6% in Q2 FY2026 to 21.4% and 26.3% in Q3 FY2026 [1] - Same-store sales growth in Hong Kong and Macau rose from 6.2% to 14.3% [1] Group 2: Management Guidance - The management expects that due to a high base effect, same-store sales during the upcoming Lunar New Year will record low to mid-single-digit growth [1] - Full-year revenue and same-store sales growth guidance has been raised from low single-digit and mid-single-digit to low mid-single-digit and mid-high single-digit [1] Group 3: Profit and Revenue Forecasts - Macquarie has adjusted Chow Tai Fook's net profit forecasts for FY2026 to FY2028 upwards by 3.6%, 6%, and 4.5% respectively [1] - Revenue forecasts have been slightly increased by 0.8%, 0.9%, and 0.9% for the same periods [1] - Gross margin estimates have been raised by 1 percentage point, 0.9 percentage points, and 0.6 percentage points [1] - EBIT margin forecasts have been adjusted upwards by 0.3 percentage points, 0.9 percentage points, and 0.6 percentage points [1]