迪拜环球港务集团调研：尽管贸易壁垒上升，贸易领袖对2026年仍保持信心

Core Insights - The core conclusion of the report is that despite rising trade barriers and market volatility, 94% of surveyed trade leaders remain confident that trade growth in 2026 will be at least on par with 2025 levels [1] Group 1: Trade Growth Expectations - 54% of respondents expect trade growth in 2026 to exceed that of 2025, while 40% anticipate it will remain stable [1] - Only 25% of surveyed companies foresee negative impacts from challenges posed by increased trade barriers, with 49% believing they will not be affected and 26% expecting positive outcomes [1] Group 2: Regional Trade Potential - The regions identified with the most trade growth potential for 2026 are Europe (22%), China (17%), Asia-Pacific (14%), and North America (13%) [2] Group 3: Strategic Responses to Uncertainty - Companies are actively reshaping their supply chains and trade routes to address uncertainties, with key strategies including supplier diversification (51%), increasing inventory levels (44%), and "friend-shoring" (36%) [3] - 26% of companies plan to adopt new trade routes, while 23% are evaluating new routes, driven by factors such as cost savings (38%) and improved connectivity and inland infrastructure (36%) [4] Group 4: Challenges and Investment Focus - 60% of respondents identify customs clearance as a major cause of delays and disruptions, highlighting the need for investment in warehousing and logistics hubs (39%), road networks (36%), and border and customs processing infrastructure (36%) [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of resilience in corporate strategies, with companies integrating resilience systematically into their operations to adapt to the new normal of volatility [3]