刚刚，降息100个基点！

Core Viewpoint - The Central Bank of Turkey has lowered the one-week repo rate by 100 basis points to 37%, indicating a continued easing of monetary policy despite ongoing inflation concerns [1][3]. Monetary Policy Actions - The Central Bank's decision to reduce the policy rate from 38% to 37% reflects a commitment to maintain a tight monetary policy stance until price stability is achieved [3]. - The bank will adjust the policy rate based on actual inflation data, fundamental trends, and expectations to align with medium-term targets [3]. - Following the announcement, Turkey's main banking index fell by over 2% [3]. Historical Context - The Central Bank has a history of rate cuts, having reduced the policy rate from 43% in July 2025 to 37% in January 2026, with several significant cuts occurring throughout 2025 [4]. - The recent rate cut continues a trend of easing that began in mid-2025, with cumulative reductions totaling 1,000 basis points over several months [4]. Economic Outlook - Turkey has allocated 1.92 trillion lira (approximately $443.6 billion) for public investment projects in 2026, covering 3,857 major projects with a total estimated cost of 13.99 trillion lira [5]. - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised its growth forecasts for Turkey, projecting a 4.2% growth in 2026 and 4.1% in 2027, up from previous estimates of 3.7% [5]. - The IMF highlighted a significant difference between service and goods inflation, noting that service prices are more resilient to exchange rate shocks but exhibit persistent inflation patterns [5].