美国11月PCE数据公布前 美联储1月按兵不动的概率为95%

Core Viewpoint - The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 5%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 95% [1] Group 1 - By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rises to 15.4%, with an 84.1% chance of keeping rates unchanged [1] - The likelihood of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut by March is only 0.6% [1]