Analysts Estimate Lazard (LAZ) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for

Core Viewpoint - Lazard (LAZ) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ending December 2025, with the consensus outlook indicating potential impacts on its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for January 29, and if the results exceed expectations, the stock may rise; conversely, a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts quarterly earnings of $0.64 per share, reflecting an 18% decrease year-over-year, with revenues expected at $810.16 million, down 0.3% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 15%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Lazard aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, suggesting no recent differing analyst views [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, but its predictive power is stronger for positive readings [9][10]. - Lazard currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5, which complicates predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Lazard exceeded the expected earnings of $0.41 per share by delivering $0.56, resulting in a surprise of +36.59% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Lazard has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Conclusion - While Lazard does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of the earnings release [17].