Will Declining ATS Revenues Hinder Celestica's Q4 Earnings?

Core Viewpoint - Celestica, Inc. is expected to report lower revenues in its Advanced Technology Solutions segment due to soft demand and macroeconomic challenges, despite an overall projected revenue growth for the company [1][5]. Group 1: Advanced Technology Solutions Segment - The Advanced Technology Solutions (ATS) segment focuses on aerospace and defense, industrial, health tech, and capital equipment businesses, including semiconductor and display verticals [2]. - The ATS segment is experiencing weakness primarily due to elevated inventory levels in industrial end markets, which hinder net sales growth [3]. - Demand in the semiconductor capital equipment market remains soft, with foundries reducing spending on capacity buildup due to uncertainties related to tariffs and trade [3]. Group 2: Revenue and Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ATS revenues is $789.68 million, a decline from $805.8 million a year ago, while total revenue is estimated at $3.45 billion, indicating a 35.46% year-over-year growth [5]. - Net income for the quarter is projected at $42.41 million, with earnings expected to be $1.73 per share, up from $1.11 in the same quarter last year [5]. Group 3: Portfolio Restructuring and Market Impact - The company is actively reshaping its portfolio for aerospace and defense markets, which is impacting near-term revenues but is expected to enhance profitability in the long run [4]. - Weaknesses in capital equipment and aerospace and defense markets are anticipated to be partially offset by strong performance in the health tech portfolio [4].