Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-22 23:32Core Viewpoint - The report from GF Securities indicates that the increase in capacity electricity prices in 2026 is expected to accelerate the utility transformation of thermal power companies [1] Group 1: Market Performance - In 2025, the stock performance of thermal power companies showed significant divergence, with northern companies generally outperforming due to high earnings growth [1] - The long-term contract electricity prices for 2026 are approaching their lower limits across various provinces, suggesting limited future declines [1] Group 2: Financial Implications - The increase in coal-fired capacity electricity prices in 2026 could lead to an increase of nearly 0.02 yuan per kilowatt-hour in revenue [1] - Thermal power companies are expected to enhance their revenue through market-based trading methods, indicating a potential for improved profitability stability [1] Group 3: Governance and Cash Flow - The market value management of thermal power companies is a key driver, with financial cost savings in Q1-Q3 of 2025 accounting for 3.2% of total profits [1] - There is a notable improvement in free cash flow for thermal power companies, suggesting significant potential for increased dividend payout ratios [1] - The transformation towards a "utility-like" model for thermal power may already be underway [1]