美国三季度GDP上修至4.4% “K型”复苏显现

Group 1 - The final GDP growth rate for Q3 2025 in the U.S. has been revised upward to an annualized rate of 4.4%, reflecting stronger-than-expected export performance and improved business investment outlook [1] - Personal consumption expenditures, which account for over two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, grew by 3.5% in Q3, with service spending reaching the fastest growth rate in three years [1] - Corporate profits increased by $175.6 billion in Q3, with fixed business investment rising by 3.2%, highlighting a continued expansion in technology capital expenditures [1] Group 2 - The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for Q3 was reported at an annualized rate of 2.9%, consistent with previous estimates, indicating stable inflation [2] - Personal spending showed resilience with a 0.3% increase in November, while personal income grew by 0.1% and 0.3% in October and November, respectively [2] - Economic activity is exhibiting a "K-shaped" recovery, where high-income households benefit from stock market gains, while lower-income groups face greater cost pressures [2] Group 3 - The strong economic growth and stable job market, coupled with inflation above target, lead to expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain the federal funds rate in the upcoming meeting [3] - Recent data reinforces the narrative of "high growth, low inflation, and structural divergence," providing complex but critical decision-making information for policymakers [3]