Core Insights - The wholesale and retail industry in China is projected to achieve a value-added of 14.6 trillion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 5.0%, accounting for 10.4% of GDP, marking a historical high [1] - The market is showing stable growth, with significant increases in both wholesale and retail sectors [1] Wholesale Sector - In 2025, the transaction volume of key monitored commodity markets is expected to grow by 3.6% year-on-year, with profit increasing by 9.7% [1] - The industrial consumer goods market is anticipated to see a transaction volume growth of 9.1% [1] Retail Sector - The total retail sales of consumer goods are projected to reach 44.3 trillion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 3.8%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points compared to 2024 [1] - Retail sales in convenience stores, supermarkets, specialty stores, and department stores are expected to grow by 5.5%, 4.3%, 2.6%, and 0.1% respectively, while warehouse membership stores, collective stores, and unmanned stores maintain double-digit growth [1] Urban Market Dynamics - The urban commercial development is progressing steadily, with foot traffic and sales in monitored pedestrian streets and business circles increasing by 5.2% and 4.3% year-on-year respectively [1] - The construction of convenient living circles in 210 cities has reached 8,132, serving 168 million residents [1] Rural Market Development - The county-level commercial system has been continuously improved, with 189,000 various commercial outlets established or renovated [2] - The retail sales of consumer goods in rural areas are projected to reach 6.8 trillion yuan in 2025, growing by 4.1%, which is 0.5 percentage points higher than urban areas [2] E-commerce Growth - Rural e-commerce is thriving, with a year-on-year growth of 6.7% in online retail sales and 9.9% in agricultural product online retail sales [2] Consumer Trends - The "old-for-new" policy has shown significant results, with over 192 million home appliances and 9.1 million digital products replaced [2] - Retail sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment are expected to reach 1.17 trillion yuan, growing by 11%, while communication equipment sales are projected at 1 trillion yuan, with a growth of 20.9% [2] - Traditional brands are gaining popularity, with 271 "Old Brand Carnival" events held, generating 22.66 billion yuan in sales [2]
商务部:2025年我国批发和零售业增加值14.6万亿元
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang·2026-01-23 07:26