Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that several Macau gaming stocks are set to announce their Q4 2025 earnings, with investors expected to focus on profit trends amid concerns over additional spending for the November National Games and intense competition [1] Industry Summary - The firm anticipates a quarterly and year-on-year increase in industry EBITDA by 4% and 13% respectively, compared to a quarterly and year-on-year rise in total gaming revenue of 6% and 14% [1] - The increase in operating expenses and the shift of gaming revenue towards the lower-margin VIP segment are noted as contributing factors [1] Company-Specific Insights - Galaxy Entertainment (00027) is expected to see its EBITDA rise by 28% quarter-on-quarter to $550 million, driven by a higher VIP win rate [1] - MGM China (02282) is projected to have an EBITDA increase of 8% quarter-on-quarter to $328 million, attributed to a robust recovery in gaming revenue [1] - Sands China (01928) is forecasted to experience a 4% quarter-on-quarter EBITDA increase to $628 million, as retail revenue growth is offset by higher operating expenses and promotional costs [1] Future Outlook - For 2026, the overall gaming revenue is expected to increase by 8% year-on-year, with EBITDA rising by 10%, leading to industry EBITDA and recurring free cash flow reaching $9.1 billion and $6.4 billion respectively, nearing pre-COVID levels [1] - The firm believes that the current industry valuations remain attractive and reiterates a "buy" rating for Galaxy Entertainment, MGM China, and Sands China [1]
高盛:料去年第四季澳门博彩业EBITDA按季升4% 银河娱乐(00027)升近三成