鏖战2026！公募再现“抱团取暖”，这次的主角换成了有色

Core Viewpoint - The investment sentiment in the public fund sector has shifted from a strong focus on "drinking and medicine" (high-end liquor and pharmaceuticals) to a new emphasis on non-ferrous metals, particularly in light of rising commodity prices and inflation narratives [1][4]. Group 1: Market Trends - As of January 21, 2026, spot gold reached $4,800 per ounce, nearing $4,900, while spot silver surpassed $90 [1]. - Lithium carbonate futures have seen significant price increases, with the main contract breaking through 170,000 yuan per ton, currently priced at 166,700 yuan [1]. - The prices of aluminum and copper have also hit multi-year highs, although there has been a slight recent pullback [1]. Group 2: Fund Flows and Performance - In the past month, there has been a notable influx of capital into non-ferrous metal ETFs, with the Southern Non-Ferrous Metal ETF seeing a net inflow of 10.861 billion yuan, the highest among all stock ETFs [4]. - The top ten indices by net inflow include four related to non-ferrous metals, indicating strong market interest [4][6]. - The overall performance of non-ferrous ETFs has been impressive, with some products showing annual gains exceeding 100% [3]. Group 3: Institutional Investment Behavior - Prominent fund managers have increasingly allocated resources to non-ferrous stocks, with several well-known funds adding major mining companies to their top holdings [7]. - The trend of institutional investors "huddling together" around non-ferrous assets suggests a consensus on the sector's potential [4][7]. - The fourth quarter of 2025 saw a significant increase in resource stock allocations across various funds, indicating a strategic shift towards these assets [6][7]. Group 4: Investment Strategies for Retail Investors - Ordinary investors are advised to consider ETFs as a more accessible way to participate in the non-ferrous market, given the volatility and complexity of direct investments [8]. - Three leading ETFs in the non-ferrous sector include the Southern Non-Ferrous Metal ETF, the Dachen Non-Ferrous Metal Futures ETF, and the Wanji Industrial Non-Ferrous Metal Theme ETF, each offering different exposure to the market [9][10]. - The structural bull market for commodities is expected to continue, driven by increased capital expenditure and demand from energy transitions and AI expansion [10].