智通财经网·2026-01-23 11:45Core Viewpoint - European stock markets are expected to overcome challenges posed by the US-EU trade war and geopolitical tensions, provided that the economic outlook supports strong performance and increased US capital flows into European equities [1][2]. Group 1: Market Predictions - Wall Street strategists predict that the Stoxx Europe 600 Index will rise approximately 4% by the end of 2026, reaching around 626 points from its recent closing level [1]. - HSBC has raised its target for the Stoxx 600 Index from 640 to 670 points, indicating a potential upside of about 11% for the remainder of the year [2]. - UBS anticipates that the Stoxx 600 Index could reach 650 points, driven by profit growth and strong economic performance in Europe [6]. Group 2: Economic and Policy Factors - The bullish outlook from Goldman Sachs and HSBC is based on European economic resilience, profit growth, loose monetary policy, and accelerated fiscal spending [2]. - Significant fiscal support is expected, including over €2 trillion (approximately $2.3 trillion) for AI and clean energy investments, along with a €500 billion infrastructure fund from the German government [9]. - The European stock market is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of around 15, suggesting double-digit earnings growth for the year [10]. Group 3: Sector Performance and Investor Sentiment - The Stoxx 600 Index has risen nearly 3% this year, following a 17% increase in 2025, with semiconductor, defense, and mining stocks leading the gains [9]. - A survey indicates that 95% of European fund managers expect the stock market to rise in the next 12 months, marking a record high [14]. - Investors are increasingly interested in diversifying their portfolios away from the US market, particularly favoring European value stocks [15].