交易所出手：调整涨跌停板

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) announced adjustments to the trading rules for nickel, lead, and zinc futures, effective January 27, 2026, which includes changes to price limits and margin requirements [1][4]. Group 1: Adjustments to Futures Contracts - Nickel futures will have a price limit adjustment to 10%, with the margin for hedging positions set at 11% and for general positions at 12% [4][5]. - Aluminum, lead, and zinc futures will see their price limit adjusted to 8%, with hedging margin at 9% and general margin at 10% [4][5]. - Stainless steel futures will have a price limit of 6%, with hedging margin at 7% and general margin at 8% [4][5]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Implications - Following the announcement, nickel prices surged nearly 4% in the afternoon session, influenced by Indonesia's potential approval of a significant nickel ore production quota of approximately 260 million tons by 2026 [5][7]. - Nickel has been notably absent from the recent bull market in non-ferrous metals, with only a 3% increase since the beginning of 2024, contrasting sharply with gains in precious metals and other industrial metals [7]. - The cancellation of export tax rebates for certain lithium battery materials starting April 1, 2026, is prompting companies in the ternary materials sector to adjust production schedules, anticipating a surge in exports in the first quarter [7]. Group 3: Strategic Developments in Trading Rules - The adjustments to trading rules are part of a broader initiative to enhance the linkage between spot and futures markets, aiming to align SHFE's regulations more closely with international exchanges like LME and CME [8]. - The increase in price limits is intended to provide more room for market sentiment while the higher margin requirements are expected to raise speculative costs, potentially leading to a shift of short-term funds towards industrial clients and professional institutions [8].