Seeking Clues to MSCI (MSCI) Q4 Earnings? A Peek Into Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics

Core Insights - MSCI is expected to report quarterly earnings of $4.61 per share, reflecting a 10.3% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $821.98 million, a 10.6% increase from the previous year [1] Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 0.4% in the last 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of their initial estimates [2] - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3] Revenue Estimates - Analysts project 'Operating Revenues- Sustainability and Climate' to be $92.36 million, an 8.4% increase from the prior year [5] - 'Operating Revenues- Asset-based fees - Total' is expected to reach $209.75 million, indicating a 19.6% year-over-year change [5] - 'Operating Revenues- Analytics' is estimated at $185.31 million, reflecting a 7.3% increase [6] - 'Operating Revenues- All Other - Private Assets' is projected at $71.68 million, a 9.7% increase from the previous year [6] Run Rate Estimates - The estimated 'Index Run Rate - Recurring subscriptions' is $1.02 billion, up from $934.25 million in the same quarter last year [7] - 'All Other - Private Assets Run Rate' is forecasted to reach $288.40 million, compared to $266.72 million in the same quarter last year [7] - The 'Sustainability and Climate Run Rate' is expected to be $376.43 million, up from $343.74 million in the same quarter last year [8] - The 'Total Run Rate - Total recurring subscriptions' is projected at $2.44 billion, compared to $2.24 billion a year ago [9] Retention Rates - Analysts predict the 'Analytics Retention Rate' will be 93.9%, up from 93.3% year-over-year [6] - The 'Index Retention Rate' is expected to reach 95.4%, compared to 95.0% in the same quarter last year [8] - The 'Sustainability and Climate Retention Rate' is projected at 93.7%, an increase from 93.1% year-over-year [9] - The consensus estimate for 'All Other - Private Assets Retention Rate' stands at 88.1%, compared to 86.4% in the previous year [9] Market Performance - Over the past month, MSCI shares have returned +1.6%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.6% change [10]