Playing It Safe at 70 With $2.5 Million Is Likely To Backfire

Core Insights - A 70-year-old investor with a $2.5 million portfolio primarily in blue-chip dividend stocks is questioning the safety of a conservative investment strategy [2][4] - The portfolio consists of five established companies: Johnson & Johnson, Microsoft, Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola, and Verizon, which are known for their strong margins and consistent dividend payments [2][3] - The current weighted average yield of the portfolio is approximately 3.1%, generating an estimated annual income of around $77,500, which falls short of the $100,000 target based on a 4% withdrawal rate [4][5] Portfolio Analysis - The portfolio's holdings yield: Johnson & Johnson at 2.31%, Microsoft at 0.74%, Procter & Gamble at 2.85%, Coca-Cola at 2.86%, and Verizon at 6.92% [3][4] - Over the past decade, Microsoft has significantly outperformed with a return of 893%, while Verizon, despite its high yield, only gained 47% [5][6] - A portfolio equally weighted across these five stocks would have grown approximately 285% over 10 years, surpassing the S&P 500's gain of 253% [6][7] Risk and Growth Considerations - The investor's portfolio is 100% equities, which may seem aggressive; however, four of the five holdings have betas below 0.40, indicating lower volatility compared to the market [8] - Only Microsoft, with a beta of 1.07, provides significant growth exposure, while the other stocks are more defensive [8]