Huan Qiu Wang·2026-01-24 05:53Core Viewpoint - Major photovoltaic companies such as JinkoSolar, Tongwei Co., and LONGi Green Energy have issued profit warnings for 2025, citing significant losses primarily due to rising silver prices impacting their production costs [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Forecasts - JinkoSolar expects a net loss of 5.9 billion to 6.9 billion yuan for 2025 [1] - Tongwei Co. anticipates losses between 9 billion to 10 billion yuan [1] - LONGi Green Energy projects a net loss of 6 billion to 6.5 billion yuan attributable to increased costs of silver paste and silicon materials [1] Group 2: Cost Drivers - The surge in silver prices has been a critical factor, with current spot silver prices exceeding $100 per ounce, having more than tripled over the past year [2] - The cost of silver paste, a key material in photovoltaic cell production, is projected to reach 0.138 yuan/W by the end of 2025, accounting for approximately 62% of the non-silicon costs in TOPCon solar cells [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a "strong supply, weak demand" scenario, limiting the ability of companies to pass on increased costs to consumers [3] - Domestic market demand is declining, and overseas procurement is also slowing down, which may further weaken future demand [3] Group 4: Technological Developments - Companies are exploring alternatives to reduce silver usage, such as the development of "silver-free" technologies and the use of copper plating [3][4] - LONGi Green Energy has achieved mass production of its high-efficiency BC second-generation products, which utilize less silver [4] Group 5: Future Outlook - The maturity of alternative technologies and potential declines in photovoltaic installation volumes may exert downward pressure on silver prices in the long term [4] - Silver's strategic resource status is expected to strengthen, potentially driving prices higher due to policy influences [4]