Could Royal Caribbean Be a Long-Term Wealth Builder for Patient Investors?​

Core Viewpoint - Royal Caribbean Cruises is positioned for continued growth and investment potential as it heads into 2026, supported by strong financial performance and new offerings [1][5]. Financial Performance - In 2025, Royal Caribbean outperformed the S&P 500 with a return of approximately 21%, and it has achieved an annualized return of 30% over the past five years [2]. - The company has reported record earnings for several consecutive years and is expected to continue this trend into 2025 [5]. - The stock has shown a three-year average annualized return of 62%, indicating strong investor satisfaction [4]. Market Position and Growth - Royal Caribbean is projected to gain market share, with a capacity growth rate of 3% per year through 2033, compared to Carnival's 1.1% [9]. - The company currently holds a market share of 27%, with expectations to grow, although its smaller brands may face competition from Norwegian Cruise Lines and MSC Cruises [10]. New Offerings and Future Prospects - The launch of new ships and destinations, such as the Star of the Seas and Royal Beach Club Paradise Island, is expected to increase bookings by 10% in Q4, with 2026 bookings anticipated to surpass those of 2025 [7][8]. - The introduction of Celebrity River cruises in 2027 further enhances the company's growth trajectory [7]. Valuation - Royal Caribbean has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15 and a five-year price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 0.86, indicating a favorable long-term valuation [11].