智通财经网·2026-01-24 08:10Core Insights - The overall performance of the power battery market in December was weak, with both exports and domestic sales underwhelming, leading to a significant reliance on heavily subsidized heavy-duty truck batteries [1] - The production of power and other batteries in China reached 202 GWh in December, marking a 49% year-on-year increase, while the total production for the year was 1756 GWh, up 44% year-on-year [3][4] - The market share of leading battery manufacturers, CATL and BYD, remains strong, with a combined market share of 62% expected to persist into 2025 [2][23] Battery Production and Demand - In December 2025, the proportion of power batteries used in vehicles is projected to decrease to 49%, with ternary battery usage at 45% and lithium iron phosphate at 50% [4][5] - The demand for electric vehicle batteries continues to grow, with a forecast of 14.5 million new energy vehicles in 2025, a 24% increase year-on-year [14] - The energy density of battery models with over 160 Wh/kg is expected to decline, with only 10% of models in this category by Q4 2025, down from 13% in 2024 [22] Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape for battery manufacturers remains dominated by CATL and BYD, with CATL's market share projected to decrease to 43.2% by Q4 2025, while BYD's share fluctuates around 22.6% [23] - Emerging companies like Zhongchuang Innovation and Geely Yao Ning are showing strong performance, indicating potential growth opportunities in the market [2][23] - The overall battery market is characterized by a stable competitive structure, with larger companies continuing to expand their market share while smaller firms seek technological advancements to gain traction [17]