国泰海通:保险券商均获增配 看好居民资金入市下的非银机会
智通财经网·2026-01-24 12:03

Core Viewpoint - The non-bank financial sector is underweight, with a total underweight of 3.08 percentage points, despite an increase in holdings in the fourth quarter, indicating potential investment opportunities as resident funds enter the market under a low interest rate environment [1][4]. Group 1: Brokerage Sector - The brokerage sector has received an increase in allocation, with public funds (excluding passive index funds) raising their holding ratio from 0.85% to 1.08%, still underweight by 2.30 percentage points [2]. - The Wind All A Index rose by 0.97% in the fourth quarter, with a quarterly stock fund transaction volume of 24.5 trillion, indicating active market trading that has led to increased fund allocation to the brokerage sector [2]. - Notable individual stock increases include Citic Securities' holding ratio rising from 0.1687% to 0.3132% and Huatai Securities' from 0.1579% to 0.1989% [2]. Group 2: Insurance Sector - The allocation ratio for the insurance sector significantly increased from 1.03% to 2.13%, with an underweight of 0.33%, and the insurance index rose by 23.42% in the fourth quarter [3]. - Individual stock increases include China Life's holding ratio rising from 0.019% to 0.020%, Ping An's from 0.68% to 1.449%, and China Pacific Insurance's from 0.22% to 0.422% [3]. - The expectation of continued capital inflow and a focus on undervalued targets supports the recommendation for insurance stocks [3]. Group 3: Multi-Financial and Fintech Sectors - The allocation ratio for the multi-financial and fintech sectors decreased from 0.204% to 0.145% [3]. - Individual stocks such as Lakala and Yuexiu Financial Holdings received increased allocations, with holding ratios rising from 0% to 0.0027% and 0% to 0.0025%, respectively [3]. - The outlook remains positive for financial information services, third-party payments, and equity investment opportunities due to ongoing policy support for capital inflow and advancements in digital currency and AI applications [3]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The non-bank sector remains underweight, with a total underweight of 3.08 percentage points, suggesting four key investment opportunities: 1) Wealth management opportunities in fintech and brokerage due to resident funds entering the market [4]. 2) Valuation recovery opportunities in the insurance sector as interest rates stabilize [4]. 3) Profit enhancement opportunities for third-party payment companies from the expansion of digital currency scenarios [4]. 4) Broader exit channels for equity investment institutions due to an increase in IPOs in the tech sector [4].