Mining Stocks on Cusp of Supercycle as AI Boom Stokes Metals

Core Viewpoint - Global mining stocks are experiencing a significant resurgence, driven by soaring demand for metals and tight supplies, indicating a potential new supercycle in the sector [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The MSCI Metals and Mining Index has gained nearly 90% since the start of 2025, outperforming sectors such as semiconductors, global banks, and major technology stocks [2] - Copper prices have surged by 50% during the same period, with analysts also optimistic about other minerals like aluminum, silver, nickel, and platinum [3] Group 2: Economic Context - The mining sector's recent outperformance contrasts sharply with previous years when it faced challenges from volatile commodity prices and concerns over a slowdown in China's economy [4] - Fund managers are now reassured by China's economic support measures, including interest-rate cuts, leading to a shift in investment focus [4] Group 3: Investment Strategy - Mining stocks have transitioned from being viewed as defensive investments to essential portfolio anchors, capable of benefiting from changing monetary policies and geopolitical volatility [5] - Commodities like copper and aluminum are becoming less correlated with economic cycles, evolving into structural investments rather than short-cycle trades [6] Group 4: Fund Manager Sentiment - European fund managers currently hold a net 26% overweight in the mining sector, the highest in four years, although still below the 38% net overweight seen in 2008 [7]