中信建投:景气为纲,坚守“科技+资源品”双主线
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-25 11:28

Group 1 - The economic operation characteristic of "production stronger than demand, external demand better than internal demand" has persisted throughout the year, with macroeconomic indicators showing weakness and a loose monetary policy environment [2][3][6] - Industrial production remains resilient, with December's industrial added value growing by 5.2% year-on-year, exceeding expectations [6][36] - The export amount in December increased by 6.6% year-on-year, also better than expected [6][36] Group 2 - Recent weeks have seen a significant outflow of funds from broad-based ETFs, exceeding 570 billion yuan, while thematic industry ETFs have seen inflows of around 110 billion yuan [3][12][43] - The current market sentiment remains high, with investor sentiment indices indicating a state of excitement, suggesting potential short-term risks [10][40] Group 3 - The focus on investment should be on "technology + resource products," with AI semiconductors and new energy being the core areas of current prosperity [4][35] - Emerging hotspots such as AI applications, space photovoltaics, and innovative pharmaceuticals are continuously catalyzing market interest [4][50][51] Group 4 - The non-ferrous metals industry has the highest forecasted performance rate for 2025, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [5][54] - The South China Metal Index has risen by 12.5% since December, while energy and industrial product indices have only increased by about 7%, suggesting better investment value in the non-ferrous sector [5][54] Group 5 - The AI and semiconductor sectors maintain high levels of prosperity, driven by demand for AI model training and inference, which boosts the associated supply chain [50] - The lithium battery sector is experiencing a recovery, supported by growth in new energy vehicles and energy storage [50][51]

CSC-中信建投:景气为纲,坚守“科技+资源品”双主线 - Reportify